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How to Find Sharp Lines in Sports Betting

Juanse BritoJuanse Brito·6 min read·
strategysharp bettingeducation
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What Are Sharp Lines?

Sharp lines are betting odds that accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. They're set by sportsbooks that take large bets from professional bettors.

When sharp bettors wager significant amounts, the book adjusts its lines. Over time, this process creates highly efficient odds.

Sharp lines matter because:

  • They're your reference for "true" odds
  • Beating sharp lines = having an edge
  • Soft books often lag behind sharp lines

Sharp Books vs. Soft Books

Sharp Books

Characteristics:

  • Accept large bets from anyone
  • Odds shaped by professional action
  • Low margins (tight lines)
  • Rarely limit winning bettors
  • Fast to move on new information

Examples:

  • Pinnacle
  • Circa Sports
  • Bookmaker.eu
  • BetCRIS
  • Some Asian books (SBO, ISN)

Soft Books

Characteristics:

  • Target recreational bettors
  • Odds set by internal models/copied from sharps
  • Higher margins (more vig)
  • Quickly limit winners
  • Slower to react to market moves

Examples:

  • DraftKings
  • FanDuel
  • BetMGM
  • Caesars
  • Most retail sportsbooks

Why Pinnacle Is the Gold Standard

Pinnacle is widely considered the sharpest book because:

  1. No limits — They accept any bet size from anyone
  2. Low margins — ~2% vig vs 4-5% at soft books
  3. Professional action — Sharp bettors shape their lines
  4. Transparent — They don't hide from sharp money

When Pinnacle's line differs from a soft book, the soft book is usually "wrong."

How to Use Sharp Lines

Step 1: Find the Sharp Line

Get the Pinnacle (or other sharp book) line for the market you're betting.

Example:

  • Pinnacle: Lakers -4.5 at -104/-104
  • This is your "true" line reference

Step 2: Remove the Vig

Calculate the no-vig (fair) odds to get true probabilities.

Using Pinnacle's -104/-104:

  • Implied: 50.96% each side (total 101.92%)
  • Remove vig: 50%/50% true probability
  • Fair odds: +100 each side

No-Vig Calculator →

Step 3: Compare to Soft Books

Check soft book odds against the sharp fair line.

If soft book has:

  • Lakers -4.5 at +102 (vs +100 fair) = +EV
  • Lakers -4.5 at -108 (vs +100 fair) = -EV

Step 4: Bet the +EV Line

When the soft book price exceeds fair value, you have an edge. Place the bet.

Finding Sharp Lines: Practical Methods

Method 1: Direct Sharp Book Access

Open accounts at:

  • Pinnacle (available in most countries, not US)
  • Circa Sports (Nevada)
  • Bookmaker.eu (offshore, US-friendly)

Use their odds as your reference.

Method 2: Odds Comparison Tools

Tools aggregate odds from hundreds of books, including sharps. Look for the sharpest price and compare others against it.

Method 3: +EV Scanners

Software that automatically compares soft book odds to sharp references and flags +EV opportunities.

Browse +EV opportunities →

Reading Sharp Line Movement

Sharp money causes predictable patterns:

Steam Moves

What it is: Rapid line movement when sharps bet heavily.

Signs:

  • Multiple books move simultaneously
  • Movement is sudden and significant
  • Often early in the week

Reverse Line Movement

What it is: Line moves opposite to public betting percentages.

Example:

  • 80% of bets on Lakers
  • Line moves from Lakers -4 to Lakers -3.5
  • Sharp money must be on Celtics

Openers vs. Closers

Opening lines are set by the book's internal model. Closing lines are refined by sharp action.

The difference shows where value existed:

  • Line opened: Lakers -3
  • Line closed: Lakers -5
  • Lakers bettors at -3 had +EV

Identifying Sharp Markets

Not all markets are equally sharp:

Sharpest Markets

  • NFL spreads and totals
  • NBA spreads and totals
  • MLB moneylines
  • Top soccer leagues
  • Any market with high Pinnacle limits

Less Sharp Markets

  • Player props
  • Lower-tier leagues
  • Obscure sports
  • Live betting (faster-moving)
  • Futures

Less sharp markets = more value opportunities, but also more variance and lower limits.

Sharp Line Principles

1. Closing Lines Are Most Accurate

The market is most efficient at game time. If you consistently beat closing lines, you have an edge.

2. Early Lines Have More Value

Lines are least efficient when first posted. Sharp money hasn't corrected them yet.

3. Sharp Movement Is Information

When sharp books move, it's meaningful. Don't bet against sharp money without a reason.

4. All Lines Converge

Over time, soft book lines move toward sharp book lines. Value exists in the gap before convergence.

Common Mistakes

1. Using Soft Books as Reference

Comparing DraftKings to FanDuel tells you nothing. Both could be wrong.

2. Ignoring Vig

A line might look good until you remove the vig and realize it's -EV.

3. Chasing Old Lines

Sharp lines move fast. Yesterday's +EV is today's -EV.

4. Assuming All Movement Is Sharp

Not all line movement is meaningful. Public money can move lines too (usually temporarily).

Building Your Sharp Line Process

  1. Get sharp references — Pinnacle or equivalent
  2. Calculate no-vig odds — True fair prices
  3. Scan soft books — Find prices exceeding fair value
  4. Verify before betting — Confirm the opportunity is real
  5. Track CLV — Validate your edge over time

Summary

  • Sharp lines = accurate odds shaped by professional bettors
  • Pinnacle is the primary sharp reference
  • Compare soft books to sharp to find +EV
  • Remove the vig to calculate true fair odds
  • Beat the closing line consistently = winning bettor

The entire +EV betting methodology is built on this foundation: finding prices at soft books that exceed what sharp books say is fair.


Find sharp line value:

Juanse Brito
Juanse BritoCEO & Co-Founder at Bet Hero

Juan Sebastian Brito is the CEO and Co-Founder of Bet Hero, a sports betting analytics platform used by thousands of bettors to find +EV opportunities and arbitrage. With a background in software engineering and computer science from FIB (Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya), he built Bet Hero to bring data-driven, mathematically-proven betting strategies to the mainstream. His work focuses on probability theory, real-time odds analysis, and building tools that give bettors a quantifiable edge.

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